July 2026 San Francisco Real Estate Market Report

According to Compass, as real estate analysts, we’re watching the Bay Area housing market become a stark tale of two extremes that will likely dictate national trends. On one end, a tidal wave of AI wealth is completely defying sticky 6.5% mortgage rates, fueling fierce bidding wars that pushed 44 San Francisco homes to sell for $1 million-plus over asking in June. Meanwhile, Santa Clara County is feeling the squeeze of 58,000 regional tech layoffs this year, leading to climbing inventory and cooling prices. This unprecedented divide—where tech fortunes skyrocket the top tier while job insecurity and elevated borrowing costs weigh down the rest—makes the Bay Area the ultimate real estate bellwether you need to watch right now.

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Compass RE is a licensed real estate broker. All material is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but is subject to errors, omissions, changes in price, condition, sale, or withdrawal without notice. No statement is made as to the accuracy of any description or measurements (including square footage). This is not intended to solicit property already listed. No financial or legal advice provided. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.

0001Todd Wiley - Print © Bowerbird Photography 2016
CalBRE# 01410925

Todd Wiley

“What I’ve loved about having Todd as a realtor is that it’s not just about the current transaction, but it’s about the partnership he’s cultivated with me over time.” Zack B., Buyer and Seller

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CalBRE# 01964194

Kim Wiley

“Kim's knowledge and network eventuated in getting a great deal on a fantastic place. She is extremely well-liked and connected in the San Francisco market and brought a calm, reassuring energy to every step of the process. We can't thank her enough for helping make a dream come true for us.” —Kristen G., Buyer

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